--- title: "Platinum Price & AI Forecast — XPT/USD | AURUS AI" description: "Platinum price analysis, XPT/USD charts, AI predictions and supply-demand data. Real-time tracking with AURUS AI." lang: en json-ld: | [ { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "Organization", "name": "AURUS AI", "url": "https://aurusinsight.com", "logo": "https://aurusinsight.com/logo.png", "description": "AI-powered precious metals intelligence platform with 7 prediction models", "sameAs": [ "https://t.me/AurusSignals" ] }, { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "FinancialProduct", "name": "Platinum Spot Price", "description": "Live Platinum Spot Price (XPT/USD) analysis with AI-powered predictions, technical indicators, and trading signals by Aurus Insight.", "url": "https://aurusinsight.com/en/platinum", "provider": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Aurus Insight", "url": "https://aurusinsight.com" }, "category": "Precious Metals" }, { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "FAQPage", "mainEntity": [ { "@type": "Question", "name": "Why is platinum cheaper than gold despite being rarer?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Platinum's price fell below gold in 2015 due to the Volkswagen diesel emissions scandal, which damaged demand for diesel catalytic converters — platinum's largest industrial use. Since then, reduced automotive demand, concentrated supply risks in South Africa, and gold's surge as a safe-haven asset have maintained this unusual pricing inversion." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "How does hydrogen energy affect platinum demand?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Proton Exchange Membrane (PEM) electrolysers used in green hydrogen production require platinum-group metal catalysts. As governments worldwide invest in hydrogen infrastructure — the EU REPowerEU plan targets 10 million tonnes of domestic green hydrogen by 2030 — platinum demand from this sector could grow substantially." } }, { "@type": "Question", "name": "What indicators matter most for platinum trading?", "acceptedAnswer": { "@type": "Answer", "text": "Key platinum indicators include the Platinum/Gold ratio (currently near historic lows), the Platinum/Palladium substitution ratio, South African rand strength, Eskom load-shedding schedules affecting mining output, NYMEX futures positioning from weekly COT reports, and global manufacturing PMI data." } } ] }, { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "BreadcrumbList", "itemListElement": [ { "@type": "ListItem", "position": 1, "name": "Home", "item": "https://aurusinsight.com/" }, { "@type": "ListItem", "position": 2, "name": "Platinum Price & AI Forecast — XPT/USD | AURUS AI", "item": "https://aurusinsight.com/en/platinum" } ] } ] --- AURUS AI Precious Metals Intelligence [Dashboard ](/en/dashboard) Predictions Metals [Gold ](/en/gold)[Silver ](/en/silver)[Platinum](/en/platinum) [Palladium ](/en/palladium) [Track Record ](/en/track-record)[Academy ](/en/academy)[Pricing ](/en/pricing) [Sign In ](/en/auth) AURUS Index™ 67 BULLISH BUY Geo Risk 78 High ## Platinum Real-time precious metals intelligence $ USD 🇬🇧 EN Sign In ◆ XAU $58,610.48 ↑2.28% ◆ XAG $842.70 ↑6.17% ◆ XPT $17,486.37 ↑2.91% ◆ XPD $19,364.70 ↑4.30% ◆ BTC $67,264 ↓0.21% ◆ US10Y 4.31% ↓0.02% ◆ DXY $120.885 ↑0.50% ◆ XAU $58,610.48 ↑2.28% ◆ XAG $842.70 ↑6.17% ◆ XPT $17,486.37 ↑2.91% ◆ XPD $19,364.70 ↑4.30% ◆ BTC $67,264 ↓0.21% ◆ US10Y 4.31% ↓0.02% ◆ DXY $120.885 ↑0.50% # Platinum — Real-time precious metals intelligence Silver Palladium ## Platinum XPT/USD $17,486.93 +$493.97 (+2.91%) 24h High $17,509.04 24h Low $16,983.05 Open $16,978.60 24h Change +2.91% 7d Change +21.83% Market Cap $4.9T ## Platinum: The Rarest Precious Metal In-Depth Analysis ### Geopolitical Impact on Platinum Model 5/7 Current outlook Bullish (+288) Confidence 30% Risk Level 78/100 Key drivers • EU Imposes New Carbon Border Adjustment Tariffs on Russian Metal Imports (6.8) • US-China Semiconductor Escalation: New Export Ban on Critical Mining Equipment (8.2) • Strait of Hormuz Naval Standoff Following Drone Strike on Tanker (9.5) View Full Geopolitical Analysis → Candlestick 1D1W1M3M6M1Y5YMAX 📐 Indicators ⊕Compare [](https://www.tradingview.com/?utm_medium=lwc-link&utm_campaign=lwc-chart&utm_source=aurus-insight-hub.lovable.app/en/platinum "Charting by TradingView") RSI(14): 47.8 MACD: ↓ Bearish SMA(50): $1,860.16 BB: Width: 1.3% 24h Change +2.91% 7d Change +21.83% 30d Change +128.33% YTD +846.51% 24h High $17,509.04 24h Low $16,983.05 ## Platinum Market Ratios & Supply Metrics Platinum/Gold Ratio 0.3x Near multi-decade lows — signals undervaluation Platinum/Palladium Ratio 0.9x Substitution dynamics in catalysts South Africa Supply % 70.00% Geographic concentration risk Hydrogen Demand % 8.20% PEM electrolyser growth driver ## Seasonal Patterns 10Y20Y50Y ### Average Monthly Return ### Current Month vs Historical Historical Avg \-1.0% Aug • 20Y average Current Month \-1.3% Aug 2026 vs Average \-0.3% Below historical average Platinum in Aug has averaged -1.0% over the past 20Y. ### Annual Performance Heatmap Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2016 +0.3 \-0.1 \-1.3 +1.2 +0.9 +1 +0.6 \-2.7 +2.4 \-0.1 +0.1 \-0.2 2017 +2.6 \-0.8 \-2 +3.5 +0.1 +0.2 \-0.1 \-0.4 +1.7 \-0.8 \-0.6 +2.1 2018 +1.9 \-1.5 +0.2 +2.7 \-0.6 \-0.5 +2.2 \-1.1 +1 \-1.5 +1.7 +1.4 2019 +1.1 \-2.3 \-0.5 +2 \-1.3 +1.8 +1.5 \-1.8 +0.3 +0.7 +0.9 +0.6 2020 +0.4 0 \-1.2 +1.3 +1 +1.1 +0.8 \-2.5 +2.5 0 +0.2 \-0.1 2021 +2.7 \-0.7 \-1.9 +3.6 +0.3 +0.4 0 \-0.3 +1.8 \-0.7 \-0.5 +2.2 2022 +2 \-1.4 \-2.6 +2.9 \-0.5 \-0.4 +2.3 \-1 +1.1 \-1.4 +1.8 +1.5 2023 +1.3 \-2.2 \-0.4 +2.1 \-1.2 +1.9 +1.6 \-1.7 +0.4 +0.9 +1.1 +0.7 2024 +0.5 +0.1 \-1.1 +1.4 \-1.9 +1.2 +0.9 \-2.4 +2.7 +0.2 +0.3 0 2025 +2.8 \-0.6 \-1.8 +0.7 +0.4 +0.5 +0.2 \-0.2 +1.9 \-0.6 \-0.4 +2.3 Strong decline Flat Strong gain # COT Positioning CFTC Commitment of Traders — Report: 2026-03-28 · Source: CFTC · Model 7/7 🥇 Gold🥈 Silver💎 Platinum⚡ Palladium COT Score \-4 NEUTRAL \-100 0 +100 Confidence: 40% ## Net Position Historical Percentile ◄ Short Neutral Long ► ## Position History (52 weeks) Managed Money Net Price Extremes ## Trader Breakdown OI: 68,200(-1,200) 🏦 Managed Money (Hedge Funds) Net Long +15,600 \-2,100 this week Long Contracts: 28,400 60.4% of OI Short Contracts: 12,800 🏛️ Swap Dealers (Banks) Net Short \-14,300 +800 this week Long Contracts: 4,200 33.3% of OI Short Contracts: 18,500 🏭 Producers / Merchants Net Short \-12,100 \-600 this week Long Contracts: 3,100 26.8% of OI Short Contracts: 15,200 📊 Other Reportables Net Long +3,400 +400 this week Long Contracts: 5,800 12.0% of OI Short Contracts: 2,400 👤 Non-Reportable (Small Traders) Net Long +7,400 Long Contracts: 12,500 25.8% of OI Short Contracts: 5,100 Net Position % OI 22.87% Weekly Change \-2,100 Trend neutral Historical Percentile 42nd ## Contrarian Signal No extreme positioning detected. Positioning within normal range (42nd percentile). ## Speculator Sentiment Longs 69% Shorts 31% Report Date 2026-03-28 Spread 5,200 Source: CFTC Commitment of Traders · Report: 2026-03-28 # Macro Analysis Economic forces driving precious metals · Source: FRED / WGC · Model 6/7 🥇 Gold🥈 Silver💎 Platinum⚡ Palladium Macro Score +40 BUY Confidence: 100% \-100 0 +100 KEY DRIVERS 1. real Rates ↑ Bullish (25%) 2. dollar Index ↑ Bullish (20%) 3. central Bank Buying ↑ Bullish (15%) 4. etf Flows ↑ Bullish (12%) 5. inflation ↑ Bullish (10%) 25% 20% 15% 12% 10% ### Real Rates (10Y TIPS) BUY 1.23% Score: +39 5Y: 1.45% BE 10Y: 2.89% Real rates declining — historically strong gold catalyst. 10Y TIPS fell 57bps from peak. ### Dollar Index (DXY) BUY 98.73 Score: +46 MA50: 100.15 MA200: 103.42 RSI: 35.6 DXY below both 50-day and 200-day MA. RSI oversold at 35.6. Weak dollar strongly supports gold. ### Inflation BUY 3.2% YoY Score: +28 PCE Core: 2.8% ⚠ Above 2% target Inflation persistent above 2% target. Gold benefits as inflation hedge. PCE Core at 2.8%. ### Monetary Policy BUY 4.25-4.50% Score: +35 Cut prob. 62% Next FOMC 2026-05-06 ECB / BOJ 2.5% / 0.5% Markets price 62% chance of rate cut at next meeting. Lower rates reduce opportunity cost of gold. ## ETF Flows BUY Gold ETFs +63.8t Silver ETFs +22.3t ETF AUM Holdings 7D 30D YTD GLD $89.5B 892.3t +12.4t +48.2t +245t IAU $32.1B 320.5t +3.8t +15.6t +78t SLV $14.2B 14,250t +5.1t +22.3t +95t PPLT $1.8B 28.4t +0.3t +1.2t +5.5t Strong ETF inflows — $63.8t gold inflows in 30 days. GLD AUM at $89.5B. Institutional conviction. ## Central Bank Buying BUY 2024 1,045t 2025 1,120t YTD 2026 198t Q Avg 265t pre-22: 125t TOP BUYERS (YTD) China (PBOC) 62t +12t India (RBI) 28t +5t Turkey (CBRT) 22t \-3t Poland (NBP) 18t +2t Czech Republic (CNB) 8t +1t Singapore (MAS) 6t +4t Central banks bought 1,120t in 2025 (vs 125t pre-2022 avg). De-dollarization accelerating. ## Yield Curve ⚠ INVERTED BUY 10Y-2Y: 42bps 10Y-3M: \-15bps Trend: steepening Actual Normal Inverted ## Correlations Platinum vs Real Rates \-0.82 Strong Inverse Platinum vs DXY \-0.68 Moderate Inverse Platinum vs Inflation +0.45 Moderate Platinum vs S&P 500 \-0.15 Weak Inverse Platinum vs VIX +0.32 Weak ## Supply & Demand BUY Annual Supply 190t \+ 65t recycled Annual Demand 245t Surplus: 10t Jewelry 28% Investment 12% Central Banks 0% Technology 60% Supply deficit of 20 tonnes. Mining supply flat. Source: FRED (Federal Reserve) · World Gold Council · As of Aug 22, 2026 ### Premium Feature Upgrade to Premium to unlock this feature and 7 AI models. Log In ## Technical Analysis 1D1W1M3M6M1Y \-13 Neutral Confidence: 59% ▲ 5 Buy ● 5 Neutral ▼ 7 Sell Support $1844.85 Pivot Point $1849.93 Resistance $1853.30 ### Category Weights Moving Averages 30% \-73 Momentum 30% +27 Bands & Channels 15% +15 Volume 10% \-25 Patterns Detected 15% +0 #### Analysis Summary Technical analysis is mixed. Indicators are divided, suggesting caution. Composite score: -13/100, confidence: 59%. ▲ Top Bullish: RSI(14), Bollinger Bands, Williams %R(14) ▼ Top Bearish: ADX(14), MA Crossovers, Ichimoku Cloud Score: \-13 /100 Confidence: 59% 17 indicators analyzed ### No Signal Generated Conditions not met to generate a reliable trading signal ✗ Score must be above +40 or below -40 |-13| = 13 ≥ 40 ✓ Confidence must be above 50% 59% ≥ 50% ✗ Indicator alignment must be above 60% 41% (7/17) ≥ 60% Indicator Value Signal Score MA Crossovers Below all MAs Strong Sell \-75 ADX(14) 51.9 (Very Strong) Strong Sell \-90 Parabolic SAR $1858.94 Strong Sell \-60 Ichimoku Cloud Below Cloud Strong Sell \-65 RSI(14) 13.9 Strong Buy +80 MACD(12,26,9) \-7.66 Sell \-40 Stochastic(14,3) %K: 5.9 / %D: 5.1 Buy +40 Williams %R(14) \-94.2 Buy +50 CCI(20) \-158 Buy +40 ROC(12) \-1.19% Neutral \-10 Bollinger Bands %B: -2.5% Strong Buy +60 ATR(14) $4.31 (0.23%) Neutral +0 Keltner Squeeze No Squeeze Neutral +0 HV(20) 1.0% Neutral +0 OBV Trend 253.3K Sell \-40 Volume Ratio 1.39x Neutral +0 A/D Line \-457.1K Sell \-35 #### Technical Analysis — Timeline 20 Neutral \-13 3M Aug 20, 07:37 PM Confidence: 59% Pivot Point: $1848.85 Neutral \-13 3M Aug 20, 07:37 PM Confidence: 59% Pivot Point: $16808.12 Neutral \-13 3M Aug 20, 02:49 PM Confidence: 59% Pivot Point: $16557.32 Neutral \-13 3M Aug 19, 10:19 AM Confidence: 59% Pivot Point: $15992.56 Neutral \-13 3M Aug 15, 11:32 AM Confidence: 59% Pivot Point: $1848.58 Neutral \-13 3M Aug 14, 04:07 PM Confidence: 59% Pivot Point: $1848.59 Neutral \-13 3M Aug 14, 04:07 PM Confidence: 59% Pivot Point: $14141.45 Neutral \-13 3M Aug 8, 10:32 AM Confidence: 59% Pivot Point: $1848.47 Neutral \-13 3M Aug 1, 09:32 AM Confidence: 59% Pivot Point: $1848.52 Neutral \-13 3M Jul 25, 08:33 AM Confidence: 59% Pivot Point: $1850.23 Neutral \-13 3M Jul 25, 07:03 AM Confidence: 59% Pivot Point: $1849.36 Neutral \-13 3M Jul 25, 07:03 AM Confidence: 59% Pivot Point: $7959.94 Neutral \-13 3M Jul 20, 01:03 PM Confidence: 59% Pivot Point: $6938.52 Neutral \-13 3M Jul 18, 07:32 AM Confidence: 59% Pivot Point: $1850.23 Neutral \-13 3M Jul 11, 06:32 AM Confidence: 59% Pivot Point: $1848.89 Neutral \-13 3M Jul 7, 10:17 AM Confidence: 59% Pivot Point: $1849.13 Neutral \-13 3M Jul 7, 10:06 AM Confidence: 59% Pivot Point: $4559.37 Neutral \-13 3M Jul 7, 09:57 AM Confidence: 59% Pivot Point: $1849.68 Neutral \-13 3M Jul 7, 09:57 AM Confidence: 59% Pivot Point: $4554.22 Neutral \-13 3M Jul 4, 05:31 AM Confidence: 59% Pivot Point: $1850.09 Based on synthetic daily closing prices · Indicators as of Aug 22, 2026 ## Monte Carlo Simulation Model 2/7 10,000 paths 7D14D30D60D90D Buy Score: +57 | Confidence: 83% 30D horizon • Jump Diffusion (Merton) • Computed in 161ms Probability Up 83.2% Probability Down 16.8% Expected Return +3.15% Value at Risk (95%) $43.52 Mean $1906.51 Median $1904.73 Std Dev $64.83 Skewness 0.168 Kurtosis 0.884 Expected Shortfall $77.99 Computed in 161ms ### Prediction Cone Hide Trajectories ### Price Distribution ### Percentiles Percentile Price Return Prob P5(Bear Case) $1804.69 \-2.4% 5% P10 $1828.08 \-1.1% 10% P25 $1866.03 +1.0% 25% P50(Base Case) $1904.73 +3.1% 50% P75 $1946.29 +5.3% 75% P90 $1986.45 +7.5% 90% P95(Bull Case) $2016.07 +9.1% 95% Probability Calculator Probability of reaching $ (+5.0%) 27.6% 10,000 probabilistic scenarios Quick targets: $1,756 99% $1,793 96% $1,904 51% $1,941 28% $2,033 3% $2,125 0% Simulation Settings 10,000 simulated paths · Jump Diffusion model · As of Aug 22, 2026 ## GARCH Volatility Model Model 3/7 1ms Volatility Regime TURBULENT Calm 17% Normal 53% Turbulent 27% Crisis 3% Regime changed from CRISIS → TURBULENT (2d ago) Persistence: 0.99 Half-Life: 60.9 days Current: 14.8% Long-run: 9% ### Volatility History & Forecast ### Volatility Term Structure ### Expected Daily Range +2σ $17,805.85 +1σ $17,642.52 Current $17,479.20 \-1σ $17,315.88 \-2σ $17,152.55 68% chance within $17,315.88 - $17,642.52 95% chance within $17,152.55 - $17,805.85 Volatility model · Based on 252 trading days · As of Aug 22, 2026 ### AURUS Index™ Prediction Engine ### LSTM Time Series Bullish $17,903.02 Model Accuracy: 73.1% Confidence: 63% ### Monte Carlo 10K Bullish $18,217.72 Model Accuracy: 71.3% Confidence: 90% ### GARCH Volatility Bullish $17,780.64 Model Accuracy: 67% Confidence: 70% ### Technical Analysis Bullish $17,868.06 Model Accuracy: 68% Confidence: 67% ### NLP Sentiment Neutral $17,535.87 Model Accuracy: 67% Confidence: 55% ### Macro/Fundamental Bullish $18,270.17 Model Accuracy: 69.7% Confidence: 88% ### COT Positioning Bullish $18,270.17 Model Accuracy: 62.4% Confidence: 81% Disclaimer: AURUS AI provides AI-generated market analysis for informational purposes only. 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